Solana (SOL) has dropped by 7.50% in the last 24 hours to reach around $142 on March 7, mirroring losses across the cryptocurrency market.
SOL/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingView
Top reasons driving the SOL prices lower today include:
Digital Asset Stockpile fails to impress SOL bulls
Solana’s price tumbled today as crypto markets reacted to President Donald Trump’s executive order establishing a US strategic Bitcoin reserve and digital asset stockpile.
What to know:
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Investors had expected the US government would actively purchase Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, but the order specified no new acquisitions beyond assets already forfeited.
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Trump fulfilled his campaign promise to establish a Bitcoin reserve, but it will be comprised of BTC already owned by the federal government.
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The Treasury and Commerce Secretaries may explore “budget-neutral strategies” to acquire more Bitcoin in the future—but without using taxpayer funds.
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The broader Digital Asset Stockpile focusing on altcoins will not include any purchasing of new tokens.
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The US holds approximately $17.7 billion in Bitcoin and $400 million in seven other tokens, mostly seized from civil and criminal cases.
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The government has not revealed any SOL holdings so far, with analysts noting that the amount they hold is likely to be “pretty minuscule.”
Source: Moon Lambo
Solana’s funding rates flip negative
Solana’s open interest (OI) is decreasing, and its funding rates are negative, which provides insight into why SOL’s price is struggling.
Key points:
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Solana’s OI in the futures market has dripped from its local peak of $8.57 billion on Jan. 17 to $4.03 billion as of March 7.
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OI measures the total number of outstanding futures contracts, and a decrease suggests more traders are exiting positions.
SOL futures open interest. Source: CoinGlass
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A declining OI typically means reduced speculative demand, slowing upward price momentum.
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SOL’s weekly funding rates dropped to -0.20% on March 7, three months after peaking out at 1.37%.
SOL OI-Weighted Funding Rate. Source: CoinGlass
Solana price eyes another 25% drop
SOL has fallen by more than 50% since establishing its record high of around $295.30 in January — and it appears there’s more room to decline in the coming weeks.
Key points:
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SOL price is correcting inside what appears to be a falling wedge, a classic bullish reversal pattern, but confirmation is needed.
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$106, down 25% from the current price levels, appears to be a key downside target for Solana.
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The level aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave), and wedge apex.
SOL/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView
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The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42.03 signals further downside potential before reaching oversold conditions.
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Trading volume remains weak, indicating lower buying interest.
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A break above the wedge’s upper trendline may weaken SOL’s risks of declining toward $106, instead sending the price to a level at a length equal to the wedge’s height.
Related: Solana DEX volumes still rival Ethereum’s despite memecoin meltdown: VanEck
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.