Pullback From $3,100 Rally Tests Key Support Levels

by CryptoExpert
Bitbuy


TLDR

  • Ethereum pulled back from $3,100 after a TD Sequential sell signal appeared on the 1-hour chart, suggesting short-term exhaustion
  • The price is trading in a descending channel with key support at $2,950 and resistance at $3,050
  • Grayscale’s ETHE recorded $4.93 billion in cumulative outflows, the largest among all Ethereum ETFs
  • BlackRock led a $312.6 million weekly inflow surge, accounting for $257.2 million of institutional buying
  • Technical indicators show Ethereum trading near $3,002 with the 20-day EMA at $3,087 acting as resistance

Ethereum retreated from recent highs above $3,100 as technical indicators flashed warning signs. The cryptocurrency now hovers near $3,000 while traders watch critical support zones.

Crypto analyst Ali identified a TD Sequential sell signal on Ethereum’s 1-hour perpetual futures chart on Binance. This trend-exhaustion indicator appeared after ETH climbed from $2,700 to above $3,100.

The TD Sequential model tracks price momentum to spot potential reversals. When a sell signal forms after a strong rally, it often precedes consolidation or short-term pullbacks.

Ethereum currently trades within a descending channel on the 1-hour timeframe. The pattern shows lower highs forming against stable demand near the lower boundary.

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The Relative Strength Index sits near its lower range. This position allows for potential short-term bounces, but rallies remain corrective unless ETH breaks above the channel’s upper boundary with volume.

Key support rests near $2,950 based on prior reaction lows and liquidity zones. This level would represent a normal retracement of the recent move rather than a breakdown.

ETF Flows Show Contrasting Trends

U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs recorded approximately $1.42 billion in net outflows during November. The data reflects fund creation and redemption activity throughout the month.

Grayscale’s ETHE accounted for $4.93 billion in cumulative net redemptions. The fund’s 2.5% fee structure drove legacy holders to exit positions in favor of lower-cost alternatives.

The final week of November brought a reversal in flows. U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs posted $312.6 million in net inflows during that period.

BlackRock led the weekly inflows with approximately $257.2 million. This marked the firm’s largest weekly Ethereum acquisition to date.

The inflows occurred as ETH rebounded from $2,620 back above $3,000. The timing coincided with broader market stabilization following Federal Reserve policy signals.

Combined net ETF assets now stand near $19.15 billion. This represents roughly 5.2% of Ethereum’s total market capitalization.

Price Structure and Trading Levels

Ethereum faces resistance near $3,050. This zone aligns with the descending channel’s upper boundary and a supply area from previous distributions.

The $2,960 to $2,950 region provides downside support. This demand area built up from repeated intraday bounces and liquidity concentration.

Ethereum Price on CoinGecko

A rejection near $3,050 would fit with broader corrective behavior. The market structure suggests this region attracts selling when upside momentum weakens.

Ethereum traded at around $3,009.18 at press time. The price showed a 0.03% gain in the last 24 hours.

The 20-day exponential moving average sits at $3,087. This level has capped rebounds for nearly a month and serves as a key reference point for trend direction.



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